Rafael Nadal vs Kei Nishikori

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If you wanted to give a tennis fan of the future some idea of what made Nadal so tough to beat on clay, you could do worse than to hand them a tape of the first game of the semifinal he played against Grigor Dimitrov in Monte Carlo on Saturday. Dimitrov came out at full speed, hitting brilliantly and moving beautifully. He tracked down everything Rafa threw at him, and showed off his own shot-making genius in return. And after 20 minutes, he was down 0-3.

Most players have to redline just to match Rafa’s every day game on clay.Can Nadal’s opponent on Sunday, Nishikori, redline for long enough to make this final a contest? He has the shots and the wheels to do it. He has the down-the-line two-handed backhand that Novak Djokovic, at his best, used to open up rallies against Rafa. He has a forehand that he can use to control points. And he has the timing to take Nadal’s high-kicking topspin on the rise. Nishikori is just 2-9 against Rafa, but he won their last meeting, which was for a bronze medal at the 2016 Rio Olympics, and in 2014 he led Nadal by a set and a break in the Madrid final on clay before getting hurt and eventually retiring. Nishikori also shouldn’t feel too worried if he falls behind early; four of his five wins this week have come in three sets, and he battled back from a set down to beat Alexander Zverev in the semis.